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How vulnerable are interest groups to extremes?

The Study adopted a decision-scaling approach to defining climate risk to help move towards a strategy for adaptive management. The approach begins with stakeholders and determines their domain of vulnerabilities, and then assesses whether those conditions are possible or plausible based on the available climate science. To this end, the technical work groups (TWG) established by the IUGLS for each of the various interests affected by regulation of Lake Superior levels were tasked with identifying examples where those individuals, businesses, communities and organizations within their specific area of interest were vulnerable to lake level fluctuations. Each TWG developed a range of “coping zones” for its specific interest that assessed vulnerability to water level fluctuations as well as confounding factors such as glacial isostatic adjustment, wind/waves/storm surges and precipitation patterns.
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Water Uses Coping Zones
Hydropower Coping Zones
Commercial Navigation Coping Zones
Recreational Boating Coping Zones
Coastal Zone Coping Zones
Lake Superior Wild Rice
Black and Sturgeon Bay Bulrush Marsh
Lakes Superior & Michigan Wetland Invertebrates & Fish
Batchawana Bay Wetland Vegetation
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Lake Michigan-Huron Sediment-Water Phosphorus Flux
Georgian Bay Wetland Connectivity and Vegetation
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Saginaw Bay Wetland Vegetation
Saginaw Bay and Les Cheneaux Islands Macroinvertebrates
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Lake St. Clair Wetland Fish
Long Point Wetland Vegetation and Fish
Long Point and Saginaw Bay Wetland Birds
St. Marys River Ecosystem Evaluation
Integrated Ecosystem Response Model
Ecosystem TWG Synthesis and Summary
Coping Zone Synthesis
Risk Assessment & Decision Making under Uncertainty